The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion …
2023年1月9日 · CSIS wargamed a Chinese invasion of Taiwan 24 times and found that Taiwan would endure as a democratic and independent entity in most scenarios. However, the costs were enormous. Victory is not enough. The United States needs to strengthen deterrence to avoid war.
The First Battle of the Next War: A US-China Conflict over Taiwan
2023年1月9日 · CSIS ran 24 iterations of a wargame to see how such a conflict might play out. The bottom line: although in most scenarios Taiwan endured as an autonomous and democratic entity, the costs were...
The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion …
CSIS developed a wargame for a Chinese amphibious invasion of Taiwan and ran it 24 times. In most scenarios, the United States/Taiwan/Japan defeated a conventional amphibious invasion by China and maintained an autonomous Taiwan. However, this defense came at high cost.
Mark F. Cancian/Matthew Cancian/Eric Heginbotham: The First Battle …
PDF | On Nov 30, 2023, Heinz Dieter Jopp published Mark F. Cancian/Matthew Cancian/Eric Heginbotham: The First Battle of the Next War. Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan.
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Notes - JSTOR
“The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan.” CSIS | Center for Strategic & International Studies, January 9, 2023. https:// www.csis.org/analysis/first-battle-next-war-wargaming-chinese-invasion-taiwan.
Wargaming a Taiwan invasion scenario – The China Project
2023年8月17日 · Titled The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan, it took place in 2022 and was published in January 2023. The wargame was conducted under the auspices of CSIS, the Center for Strategic and International Studies, and was put together by Mark F. Cancian, his son, Matthew Cancian, and Eric Heginbotham.
CSIS Report: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan Reveals …
2023年1月18日 · China Strikes First. According to the report, the invasion consistently sparked off with a heavy Chinese bombardment that decimated Taiwan’s navy and air forces. The Chinese naval forces would surround the island of Taiwan while thousands of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) soldiers cross the Taiwan Strait in both amphibious vessels and ...
The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese
2023年1月9日 · In most scenarios, the United States/Taiwan/Japan defeated a conventional amphibious invasion by China and maintained an autonomous Taiwan. However, this defense came at high cost. The United States and its allies lost dozens of ships, hundreds of aircraft, and tens of thousands of servicemembers. Taiwan saw its economy devastated.
The First Battle of the Next War: War-Gaming a U.S.–China …
Mark Cancian, Eric Heginbotham, and Matthew Cancian will lead an effort to identify and understand the most important military variables that would shape the outcome of a U.S.–China conflict over Taiwan.
The First Battle of the Next War : Wargaming a Chinese Invasion …
The CSIS report presents the results of a wargaming exercise based on a scenario of an amphibious invasion of Taiwan by China in 2026, with particular reference to the impact on the United States. Based on this simulation exercise, it identifies a series of conditions for countering Chinese aggression.
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