The Aces Don’t Need Threes To Win - FiveThirtyEight
Sep 18, 2020 · The past decade of professional basketball featured an overwhelming buffet of stylistic changes built on one simple premise: Three is greater than two.
Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
Nov 5, 2024 · FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast model shows Joe Biden and Donald Trump's chances of winning.
John Roberts Has Cast A Pivotal Liberal Vote Only 5 Times
Jul 5, 2018 · Roberts, 63, took his seat on the bench in 2005, after then-President George W. Bush appointed him. Like Kennedy, he has proven solidly conservative on major American issues such as voting rights ...
Nate Silver - FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”
How To Tell Who's On Track To Win On Election Night
Nov 4, 2024 · How this works: 538’s county-level benchmarks for the 2024 elections estimate what percentage of the vote Democrats or Republicans would need in each county for each statewide (or district-wide, in the cases of Maine and Nebraska) contest to be roughly tied. That means if a candidate is performing consistently better than their party’s benchmark as we get …
U.S. Senate Polls | FiveThirtyEight
6 days ago · The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.
The Gerrymandering Project – FiveThirtyEight
Nov 30, 2017 · The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress has raged for decades. One district in North Carolina has been ground zero in that fight.
Introducing Our Brand-New Polling Averages - FiveThirtyEight
Jun 28, 2023 · As you may have heard, there have been some changes at FiveThirtyEight recently. While it will be strange around here without our founder Nate Silver, his model…
How We’re Tracking Donald Trump’s Approval Ratings
Mar 2, 2017 · Calculating a trend line (local polynomial regression) Because individual polls can be noisy, we estimate how Trump’s approval rating has changed over time using local polynomial regression ...
Dear Mona, What’s The Most Common Name In America?
Nov 20, 2014 · Specifically, we ran 1,000 regressions, one for each of the top 1,000 most-common first names. The variables used in the regression were, on the one hand, the frequency that that name appeared in ...